.
.
/ "Controllism" / Richard Dawkins / The European Enlightenment /
/ Evolution, Creationism, Darwin / Humbug / Ignorance and Education / Ionia /
/ Irrationality, Irreality / Legalism, Literalism, Textualism / A Liberal Decalogue /
/ Modernism / Naturalism and Supernaturalism / Perception /
/ Persuasion, Manipulation, Advertising, Propaganda /
/ Pragmatism / The Radical Right / Satisficing and the Pareto Principle /
/ Science, Rationalism, and Critical Thinking (Page 1) / (Page 2) / (Page 3) / (Page 4) / (Page 5) /
/ (Page 6) / (Page 7) / (Page 8) / (Page 9) / (Page 10) /
/ (Page 11) / (Page 12) / (Page 13) / (Page 14) / (Page 15) /
/ (Page 17) / (Page 18) / (Page 19) / (Page 20) /
/ Speech Free and Otherwise / Censorship, Media, and the Press /
/ Statistics, Numeracy, Probability, Mathematics / "Systemics" / Technocracy / Technology /
/ World Scientists' Warning to Humanity /
/ Science, Rationalism, and Critical Thinking (Page 16) /
- How Confident Are You?
by Steven Novella
12 AUG 2008"We all have knowledge and we mentally assign a level of confidence in each piece of knowledge we think we have. ...
For the critical thinker it is important to avoid unjustified confidence, and to understand what factors may lead us to a high degree of confidence when we are in fact wrong. For example, we often assign a high degree of confidence to memories that are vivid and accessible, but the evidence shows that these factors do not predict accuracy. A memory may feel completely real, but be completely wrong.
Skeptics often encounter the “confidence” defense -- we are asked to believe anecdotal accounts based upon the reporter’s confidence in their accuracy. I have been told many times by believers that they were absolutely certain about specific facts of a case that turned out to be demonstrably wrong. In these cases it seemed to me that confidence derived from a desire to believe, and therefore have a clean story in support of the belief. But confidence is an effective form of persuasion -- we tend to trust other people’s confidence, even when we shouldn’t.
Science has largely quantified confidence -- that is, after all, was science is largely about: having a high degree of confidence in our explanations about the natural world."
Though again, people often have extremely high degrees of confidence based on modalities other than science. Religious faith may lead a person to give up friends, job, loved ones, or even to die for his or her beliefs, and schizophrenics may murder family members or strangers in firm confidence that this is the right thing to do.
"Trusting other people, because they show high confidence" leads to following tyrannical politicians, authoritarian administrators, and religious eccentrics -- and even sociopaths -- even when their recommendations are factually wrong or will cause suffering.
- Curiosities of Biological Nomenclature / curioustaxonomy.net
- "Afternoon Inquisition 1.15"
15 JAN 2009 by Sam Ogden
Post to the blog Skepchick - "about science, skepticism, and pseudoscience"
"Afternoon Inquisition" is a regular feature in which the blog editors take turns posing a "random" question to solicit responses from readers."So for today’s A.I., you’re teaching a continuing ed. course in critical thinking at the local learning annex:
How do you conduct the class? Is there an exercise you would have the students do that demonstrates critical thinking? What is your first lesson?"
comment by russellsugden Jan 15, 2009 --contains some annoying (to me at least) Briticisms"Critical Thinking has been added to the AS level Curriculum in the UK and is the fastest growing subject. More students opt to take it every year as it’s seen, rightly, as being a vitally important addition not only to your UCAS form but also CV. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/education/6950084.stm
There’s even a website to help get you through the course http://www.criticalthinking.org.uk/
... I’ve taught courses in “Science and Maths for Arts Students” and “Intro to Scientific Thinking” and I generally found R. Carroll’s book Becoming a Critical Thinker (the recomended text) to be invaluble as a teaching aid. ...
I found the biggest problems to be students' inability to think for themselves (at the start 90% just wanted to be told what to think and what to write on the exam, a legacy of the sh*t High School system which is an exam factory) and their jaw-dropping lack of Maths (more than half had the pleasure of my company for what was essentially “Remedial Maths”)."
(I've done some very light editing for capitalization, etc. - ed.)
- I get email
15 DEC 2009
Specifically, PZ Myers gets email from one Michael Aprile, who writes:"Anyone who even gives ear to people such as Dawkins (Richard Dawkins) and Kitchens (Posters to Myers' blog are assuming that "Kitchens" is Christopher Hitchens) is no less than a fool. There is nothing wrong with being a fool, but teaching others to be one is unacceptable and irresponsible, at the very least." ("People who live in glass houses" department.)
If this is the Michael Aprile who operates a website on Christian home schooling and who received a Bachelors in English (with honors) from the University of Louisville in Kentucky (and I don't know that he is), then Mr Aprile's letter is hardly a good advertisement for the standards of scholarship of that institution. On the other hand, I might politely wonder whether the stylistic shortcomings apparent here were due to one too many glasses of Merlot (and I don't know that they are).
- Skeptics: How do you know what to "believe"?
Post to Greg Laden's Blog, 17 DEC 2009"There is a vast gulf between the science of complex natural systems and the level of understanding of that science among those involved in public discourse and important policy making. This gulf is one of the most significant problems we face in modern society. When an entire political party in the US devotes much of its energy to stand between scientific knowledge and policy making (see: The Republican War on Science), and our population becomes increasingly distant from understanding even basic science (see: Unscientific America: How Scientific Illiteracy Threatens our Future), we are in trouble.
Two very important defenses against the collapse of civilization owing to ignorance (see: Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed) are the science geek and the skeptic. Often but not always they are the same person. These are the people who will vote correctly and encourage others to do so. These are the people who will not let utterly stupid sh*t pass by in conversations at family gatherings, parties, in classrooms, at bus stops, and on the Internet, without a critical comment. These are the people who may be scientists themselves but more often are not, who push their skepticism out in front of them as the move with alacrity across their social landscapes, mowing down Teh Dumb as they encounter it."
IMPORTANT: The original article links the books mentioned to Amazon.com. If you wish to purchase any of these books please do so from Mr Laden's original post, as I assume that he receives a commission on these puchases.
- Science Denial on the Rise
by Steven Newton
06 JAN 2009"From evolution to global warming to vaccines, science is under assault from denialists -- those who dismiss well-tested scientific knowledge as merely one of many competing ideologies. Science denial goes beyond skeptical questioning to attack the legitimacy of science itself. ...
Despite such misleading hyperbole, science is meritocratic. Once you achieve a minimum level of education and competence, you can participate, ask a challenging question of even the most respected scientist, or submit papers to scientific journals, where research is judged by the data and methodology. Esteemed scientists face relentless criticism. This is how science works.'
- Orson Welles Layin' it Down Interesting 3:40 video clip of Orson Welles discussing his own experiences as a fortune teller.
- IMHO a nice clarification on Peer Review
The KitchenSink Language
by Zed Shaw
All content Copyright (C) Zed A. Shaw since like 2000 or something like that.Someone insists that some unproven claim in computer science is true -
"Why does he have the right to do this? Because there are no scientific standards in computer science. There are no peers yelling, 'Hey! That hasn't been peer reviewed, who the hell are you to teach that?' Nobody is standing up demanding that the latest language feature be tested and peer reviewed before it is forced on paying customers (students). Nope, they just go, 'Oh, it's new and he has a Ph.D., it must be correct then.' What is missing are the concepts of scientific method, empirical validation, experimentation, and peer review."
Similarly, of course, for religion.
The important point about peer review is that reviewers / critics must be (a) adequately knowledgeable about the subject in question but also (b) at least formally hostile to the claim. They must start from the proposition "You are nuts, and I can prove it." If they can prove that the new claim is nuts, then it gets retired to the "nice try" bin. If they can't prove it, then the crazy new assertion is provisionally accepted as "possible".
In general, religion tends to reject aspect (b), hostile criticism, either simply avoiding it, or claiming that criticism is uncivil and/or illegitimate.
However, there is some tradition of "peer review" in some religions: The advocatus diaboli in the Roman Catholic canonization process, the tradition of vigorous debate in Tibetan Buddhism and in Jewish Talmud study (cf Does science have all the answers?
MAR, 17 MAR 2011
- Science agencies must bite innovation bullet
09 MAR 2011
"After the Second World War, the United States was the only major world power with a flourishing scientific and industrial base; the country led the world because it had no competitors. It preserved this advantage during the cold war through the Department of Defense's (DOD's) central role in technology development, and through close and persistent ties between the DOD and private industry. Huge procurement budgets cemented these links, creating early markets for technologies such as computers, jet aeroplanes and satellites. To support this technology base, the DOD invested in emerging fields such as computer science, sub-atomic and solid-state physics, and materials science. Resulting waves of innovation created whole industries that helped to fuel the US economy.
Meanwhile, the main civilian science agencies — the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the National Science Foundation, NASA and the Department of Energy (DOE) — developed roles in training scientists and creating knowledge that accelerated innovation. But such agencies were mere booster rockets for the DOD's main engine of innovation. They lacked, and continue to lack, the attributes that accounted for the military's successes — in particular, its focused mission, enduring ties to the private sector and role as an early customer for advanced technologies."